Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.730728 1.967367 2.226995 2.533381 2.885583 3.278379 3.750492
2025-11-23 1.374461 1.683831 2.051434 2.522025 3.110759 3.825934 4.765074
2025-11-30 1.197841 1.561412 2.023104 2.656112 3.507222 4.620063 6.198614
2025-12-07 1.043943 1.433588 1.956915 2.717589 3.805679 5.322093 7.623606
2025-12-14 0.901800 1.294561 1.847955 2.693851 3.970679 5.852309 8.883980
2025-12-21 0.774034 1.154582 1.713515 2.606278 4.019088 6.206651 9.924450
2025-12-28 0.719617 1.113216 1.714656 2.716673 4.376372 7.072602 11.900563
2026-01-04 0.670322 1.071926 1.708194 2.810107 4.713869 7.947828 14.029148
2026-01-11 0.621385 1.024209 1.683884 2.867803 4.994620 8.760797 16.175346
2026-01-18 0.575998 0.976340 1.652370 2.906619 5.243593 9.546999 18.395519
2026-01-25 0.521186 0.905792 1.573334 2.849400 5.306818 9.995672 20.027330
2026-02-01 0.462590 0.822111 1.461647 2.717468 5.209055 10.118768 21.010362
2026-02-08 0.423169 0.770378 1.404639 2.686940 5.315014 10.679505 23.063823
2026-02-15 0.385930 0.718854 1.342619 2.639375 5.381312 11.172027 25.067859
2026-02-22 0.372957 0.711990 1.364753 2.763355 5.822571 12.527825 29.316514
2026-03-01 0.353467 0.690199 1.355010 2.819711 6.125910 13.627996 33.175841
2026-03-08 0.327340 0.652313 1.308602 2.791516 6.235971 14.303059 36.107045
2026-03-15 0.297920 0.604690 1.237037 2.698997 6.184465 14.587368 38.076703
2026-03-22 0.289586 0.600308 1.256079 2.812903 6.638442 16.177380 43.914307
2026-03-29 0.280215 0.592680 1.267151 2.909566 7.064572 17.768211 50.107583
2026-04-05 0.268578 0.578880 1.263003 2.969305 7.406441 19.196404 56.146409
2026-04-12 0.256391 0.562617 1.251510 3.009528 7.703613 20.554246 62.282920
2026-04-19 0.238479 0.531577 1.202680 2.950097 7.725776 21.149382 66.134260